Early warning
Contents |
Definition/Description
Media as an early indicator of conflict.
Indicators
Methods/Methodologies/Tools to use
Practitioners’ tips
Examples
Gerner, D. J., & Schrodt, P. A., The Effects of Media Coverage on Crisis Assessment and Early Warning in the Middle East, In S. Schmeidl & H. Adelman (Eds.), Early Warning and Early Response, Columbia University Press-Columbia International Affairs Online (1998)
The international news media have a tremendous impact on the prediction and assessment of humanitarian crises. It is well known that the coverage provided by primary sources is uneven, particularly in marginal areas such as Africa and Central Asia, and that their attention-span is limited. In this chapter we examine some characteristics of media coverage of a well-covered region—the Arab-Israeli conflict—and assess systematically how this coverage might affect early warning and monitoring.
http://web.ku.edu/~keds/papers.dir/EWER.pdf
Kim, J. H., Predicting International Conflict with Mass Media: An Exploratory Research, Paper presented at the The International Communication Association (2005)
This study is to test mass media variables as a predictor of international conflict. Three models which are composed of media regime, demand (circulation), and supply (number of media suppliers) found significant predictors of international conflict initiation, duration and intensity. Suggestions for future research are addressed.
http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p_mla_apa_research_citation/0/1/4/8/2/p14822_index.html
Resources
Related web portals:
Training resources:
Discussion forums and specialised platforms:
Organisations and institutions engaged in this area:
For further study:
- Chukwuemeka Okere, L., The Role of African Media in Early Warning and Conflict Prevention Systems, The Round table, Carfax Pub. Co (1996), Vol.338, pp.173
- Hunt, W. B., Getting to war : predicting international conflict with mass media indicators, University of Michigan Press (1997)(preview this item [1])
- Jenkins, J. C., & Bond, D., Conflict-Carrying Capacity, Political Crisis, and Reconstruction: A Framework for the Early Warning of Political System Vulnerability, The Journal of Conflict Resolution (2001), Vol.45, No.1, pp.3-31 (see www.jstor.org [2])
- Leitenberg, M., Media and genocide : are public media useful for early warning or creating political will for early response?, Center for International Security Studies at Maryland (1997)
Author(s)
Contributions
